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#7 | |
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Banned
Drives: yaris Join Date: Jan 2011
Location: earth
Posts: 364
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Quote:
look at the numbers first plz the most likely scenario a catastrophic failure of La Palma west flank, drops 150 to 500 km3 of rock into the sea. Using a geologically reasonable estimate of landslide motion, we model tsunami waves produced by such a collapse. Waves generated by the run-out of a 500 km3 (150 km3) slide block at 100 m/s could transit the entire Atlantic Basin and arrive on the coasts of the Americas with 10-25 f (3-8 m) height. why does this matter ? it will be the entire east coast where there are ZERO tsunami walls in place. it is probably not going to happen, or it will slide incrementally and not produce large waves, but the possibility exists nonetheless and the chance is increased lately due to volcanic activity the base of the island is 4000 meters below sea level. If that full flank also blows out in a huge eruption and lateral collapse, similar to Mt St Helens (where the entire side of the volcano slid outward and downhill), there will be a tsunami far larger than the estimate above. Will is happen ? probably not, but the chance is not zero. |
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